Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1.100640 1.250747 1.414311 1.605854 1.824132 2.065274 2.352082
2025-12-21 0.851237 1.050753 1.287076 1.588018 1.961670 2.411166 2.994227
2025-12-28 0.740144 0.967678 1.253305 1.638982 2.147532 2.797121 3.693046
2026-01-04 0.635188 0.869980 1.178910 1.616396 2.222234 3.034943 4.213658
2026-01-11 0.576409 0.822032 1.158713 1.655725 2.374131 3.380116 4.905095
2026-01-18 0.519149 0.767411 1.120308 1.660895 2.472745 3.654060 5.517211
2026-01-25 0.464462 0.709216 1.068770 1.638364 2.524034 3.858599 6.040985
2026-02-01 0.414759 0.652473 1.012408 1.600509 2.544744 4.014235 6.499088
2026-02-08 0.372791 0.602941 0.961380 1.564179 2.561448 4.161079 6.952291
2026-02-15 0.347206 0.576602 0.943597 1.578038 2.658180 4.441637 7.648870
2026-02-22 0.320582 0.545773 0.915256 1.570799 2.717446 4.663177 8.263466
2026-03-01 0.294659 0.513555 0.881395 1.550275 2.750639 4.841096 8.815591
2026-03-08 0.264003 0.472782 0.833453 1.508260 2.755829 4.995029 9.388945
2026-03-15 0.240129 0.442053 0.800830 1.491876 2.808852 5.246628 10.187468
2026-03-22 0.228341 0.431807 0.803376 1.539667 2.985188 5.742981 11.512832
2026-03-29 0.208690 0.404623 0.771673 1.518485 3.025840 5.983860 12.359260
2026-04-05 0.198314 0.394066 0.770093 1.555369 3.184299 6.471276 13.767249
2026-04-12 0.185267 0.376809 0.753609 1.560217 3.277483 6.835946 14.959402
2026-04-19 0.170790 0.355134 0.726076 1.539087 3.313459 7.084669 15.928120
2026-04-26 0.156371 0.332107 0.693468 1.503585 3.314229 7.257422 16.746246
2026-05-03 0.143531 0.311134 0.663070 1.469513 3.314025 7.427079 17.576467
2026-05-10 0.135988 0.300870 0.654420 1.482511 3.420859 7.846930 19.048013
2026-05-17 0.127453 0.287562 0.637844 1.475721 3.481068 8.165855 20.313690